Japanese Prime Minister Kishida Fumio’s Approval Ratings Plummet Amid LDP Financial Scandal

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The Mainichi Shimbun, a long-standing newspaper in Japan, has consistently gauged the Japanese government’s approval ratings since July 1947. Over this extensive period, Japan has seen 34 prime ministers, some fading into obscurity while others faced criticism. Remarkably, the latest surveys conducted by the newspaper indicate that none have encountered lower popularity ratings than the current Prime Minister, Kishida Fumio. In December, dissatisfaction with his administration soared to unprecedented levels, reaching 79%, a stark rise from below 50% recorded in June.

This historic downturn coincides with a significant financial scandal rocking Kishida’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), which has maintained power almost continuously since its inception in 1955. The scandal revolves around alleged systematic under-reporting of ticket sales at LDP fundraisers, with proceeds funnelled back to party members. Since the scandal broke in November, numerous LDP affiliates, including cabinet ministers, have faced indictments, and key party factions have disbanded.

Addressing the Diet session on January 29th, Kishida expressed remorse and bowed, seeking forgiveness from the public. Despite initiating ambitious policies such as reforms in Japanese security policy, Kishida’s leadership has been overshadowed by minor scandals and declining popularity.

The LDP’s recent troubles exacerbate the ongoing political turmoil, eroding public confidence in the party to its lowest point in decades. Despite the disarray among opposition parties, the LDP’s hold on power remains firm. However, Kishida’s leadership is under scrutiny, prompting calls for internal reforms and an end to factional politics.

While Kishida’s efforts to improve his image have seen some traction, disapproval of his government remains high at 72%, according to the Mainichi’s January survey. His prospects for re-election as LDP president in September appear challenging, with party members seeking new leadership ahead of the 2025 general election.

The LDP’s internal dynamics are shifting, particularly in key policy debates, with factions facing diminished influence. Seiwakai, a prominent faction implicated in financial irregularities, could witness a decline in its sway, potentially affecting Japan’s defence policies and social reforms.

As the LDP grapples with legal challenges and public outrage, deeper reforms are imperative, although past promises of change have yielded minimal results. While opposition parties lack cohesion, public discontent with the political landscape underscores the need for a healthier democratic system in Japan.