98 As 2024 approaches, geopolitical tensions are mounting over Taiwan, set against the backdrop of strained U.S.-China relations. The upcoming elections in Taiwan on January 13th and in the U.S. on November 5th are expected to heighten this tension. Despite diplomatic efforts between Presidents Joe Biden and Xi Jinping to stabilize relations, concerns persist about a potential clash over Taiwan. Taiwan’s election features Lai Ching-te, a member of the independence-leaning Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), leading in polls by 5%. China regards Lai as a “destroyer of peace,” and his victory could escalate tensions, leading to increased Chinese economic or military pressure. While the U.S. doesn’t officially endorse any candidate, officials worry about Lai’s loose language and pro-independence stance. Lai’s main rival, Hou Yu-ih of the Kuomintang (KMT), is favored by Beijing. The KMT, though historically an adversary of the Chinese Communist Party, supports the idea of one China, aligning with the CCP’s vision. However, Hou’s opposition to unification under the “one country, two systems” model and calls for peace through dialogue might not align with China’s expectations. The geopolitical dynamics are further complicated by the possibility of the U.S. elections influencing the Taiwan situation. President Biden, facing challenges in Ukraine and Gaza, could yield to Chinese pressure, while a more assertive approach may be adopted during a heated presidential race. The article suggests that while the new president’s impact on the status quo is uncertain, external factors like Taiwan’s reaction to Chinese military probing or a clash between U.S. and Chinese forces could play a pivotal role. Additionally, Trumpism, characterized by skepticism toward alliances, could undermine Taiwan’s position, as Donald Trump has previously expressed reluctance to defend the island. The article highlights the isolationist stance in American policy, with Republicans in Congress delaying budgets for allies, including Taiwan, in exchange for border control measures. In conclusion, the geopolitical landscape surrounding Taiwan is precarious, with the upcoming elections and the complex interplay of U.S.-China relations adding to the uncertainties and potential flashpoints in the region. You Might Be Interested In 50% of Americans view China as top threat to the U.S. Thai politics moves forward without Move Forward Mumtalakat Funds Singapore Gulf Bank to Expand Presence in Bahrain Indian Army Inaugurates First Ever Two Storey 3-D Printed Dwelling Unit Western nations accept ‘climbdown’ on Ukraine to salvage G20’s relevance Local Tiflet 2 Prison’s Management Denies ‘Slanderous Allegations’ Concerning Detention Conditions of Inmate O.R.
